Issues & Insights
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What We Got Right — And Wrong — In 2024

As editorial writers for a combined 90 or so years, we’ve found ourselves often trying to divine the future in addition to insightfully commenting on the present. So we thought with only a few hours left in the year, we’d look back and see if our foresight was sharp, or maybe just a bit blurry, and if our assessment of current events was on the mark.

What We Got Right

  • We suggested in February that Joe Biden wasn’t going to be the Democrats’ nominee in 2024. “In short,” we said, “given that the establishment left is now insisting that Biden will be the nominee makes it more likely that he won’t be.” Turns out the Democratic Party was playing the long con.
  • We basically predicted an assassination attempt against Donald Trump when we asked what the Democrats’ Plan B was if lawfare didn’t stop him. “Democrats have been wishing Trump would die,” we wrote in May. “Could some deranged Democrat actually act on this death wish?”
  • It was clear to us all year, and we mentioned it frequently, that Biden was suffering from an obvious cognitive decline and was unfit for the presidency, a fact that has finally been widely accepted. Of course, we weren’t alone in our observation. Biden’s infirmity was been obvious to tens of millions. But we noted his slurring and stumbling as early as March 2020 and then called out his mental descent a month later. It was clear even then that he was in no shape to take that 3 a.m. emergency call. We did the same two months after his inauguration, and consistently throughout his miserable term, even as the coverup and angry denials – weren’t we conspiracy theorists? – were flying.
  • We were the first to notice that Biden had stopped talking about “Bidenomics.”
  • We continued to be accurate regarding climate. We know that the global warming alarmists’ end game is not to prevent Earth from overheating but to lasso capitalism, eliminate individual liberty, accrue more political power, and continue the greater leftist revolution.
  • We studied Census migration numbers and found a mass migration out of Biden-supporting counties (which had a net loss of 3.7 million people since he was elected) and said that “What is clear from this data is that the mass migration underway today presents a huge opportunity for conservatives, if they can figure out how to seize it.”
  • Issues & Insights was right on target when we said “Google Doesn’t Want You To Know The Truth About Heat Waves And ‘Climate Change’” and pointed out that the company demonetizes us when we publish facts.
  • In July, we asked if the Democratic Party was near the end of the road. “Despite having won five of the last eight presidential elections, the Democratic Party today is in far worse shape than it was in 1980,” we said. “It has been completely overrun by its America-hating, DEI-ESG-CRT-socialist-Marxist-spewing radical fringe, which obsesses over things such as “transgender” rights and a phony climate crisis instead of jobs and opportunity.” Evidence of our rightness can be found here, here, and here.
  • We wrote in July that Kamala Harris would be “burdened by what has been” and would not be able to escape Biden’s terrible legacy. We noticed that her website had no policy proposals whatsoever and that her empty campaign wouldn’t work.
  • Way back in October 2020, we predicted that Biden, if elected, would be the worst president in history. We were eerily right in our list of particulars.
  • The I&I/TIPP polls were superbly accurate, particularly when it came to the dissatisfaction of independents, which we pointed ut in February.

What We Got Wrong

  • We were certain the Democrats would riot if Trump won in November. They didn’t. But we still have two points in our favor. One, the Democratic camp is the party of riots. And there’s still time to rampage and revolt. We’re less than a week from that famous Jan. 6 date and three weeks from Inauguration Day.
  • We figured that if the Democrats’ prospects for the White House became so bleak that they might try to call off the election. We were wrong. Yet in that same May editorial, we were right when we said we had “long suspected that swapping Biden out at the last minute has been the Democrats’ plan for some time.”
  • In March, we said it was possible the best candidate for Trump’s running mate pick “isn’t even a member of the party.” We were referring to Tulsi Gabbard, who at that time was no longer a member of the Democratic Party but not yet a declared Republican. We see now that Vice President-elect J.D. Vance was the best choice but we still believe Gabbard, who’s been nominated to be Trump’s director of national intelligence, would not have been the wrong one.

We got more right than we got wrong in 2024, and even when we were off, it might be that we were just a bit premature rather than in error.

— Written by the I&I Editorial Board

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I & I Editorial Board

The Issues and Insights Editorial Board has decades of experience in journalism, commentary and public policy.

3 comments

  • What the editors got right was mostly shooting fish in a barrel. The bit about out migration from Biden counties was both unique and interesting. I also appreciated that they are not yet wrong about the riots. The People’s March (aka Women’s March of 2016) should make for a a fun 18 Jan in DC (and the 6th & 20th as strong contenders).

  • Biden not the nominee: right conclusion, flawed reasoning. Far from “the Democratic establishment insisting Biden will be the candidate,” a lot of people from within the party were already calling for him to step aside long before he did.

    Assassination attempt: half right. The assassins were not “deranged leftists.” And the bit about “lawfare” is at best an opinion, since we saw plenty of evidence of crimes and one actual conviction.

    Climate: you continue to hold your opinion, but 2024 was the hottest year on record. It’s a stretch to claim some kind of validation.

    The Democratic Party: Again you continue to hold your opinion, but Trump did only slightly better than Harris in the popular vote. Then is the Republican Party also near the end of the road?

    It goes on like this for all of your points. Two words: “confirmation bias.”

About Issues & Insights

Issues & Insights is run by seasoned journalists who were behind the Pulitzer Prize-winning IBD Editorials page (before it was summarily shut down). Our goal then and now is to bring our decades of combined journalism experience to help readers understand the top issues of the day. I&I is a completely independent operation, beholden to none, but committed to providing cogent, rational, data-driven, fact-based commentary that the nation so desperately needs. 

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