I & I Editorial BoardFor months running up to the Nov. 5 election, the “experts” told us that this would be the closest in history. Over and over again they said it. Always with great certainty.
- “This could be the closest presidential election since 1876”
- “Uncertainty reigns in an election closer ‘than any I have ever seen’”
- “Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump is the closest presidential race of the century”
- “2024 Election Is The Closest Presidential Race In At Least 60 Years: Polls”
- “Coping with election-related anxiety in a razor-thin race”
- “Razor-thin race between Harris and Trump should motivate Democrats ahead of Election Day”
- “Dead-heat poll results are astonishing – and improbable, these experts say”
- “America’s dead-heat Trump-Harris election”
- “Poll shows presidential race in dead heat”
Turns out, it wasn’t close at all. Trump is currently ahead by 3.5 points in the popular vote. That will tighten as the millions of votes in deep-blue states such as California, Washington, and Oregon continue to be counted (at this writing, only a little more than half of California’s votes have been tabulated), but if it holds it will be the first time since 2004 that a GOP candidate won the popular vote and only the second time since 1988.
But unless you failed civics class, you’d know that we don’t elect presidents by national popular vote.
And if Nevada, Arizona, and Michigan end up in the Trump camp – he’s currently leading in all three states plus Alaska – Trump will end up with 312 electoral votes. (UPDATE: Final tally is 312 electoral votes.)
That’s more than Biden won in 2020 or Trump himself won in 2016.
And all those predictions about how the battleground states were within millimeters of going one way or another? They all broke heavily for Trump. He beat Harris by three points in Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina. He’s up by more than a point in Michigan and nearly a point in Wisconsin. He’s currently ahead by five points in Arizona and four points in Nevada.
When CNN compared Trump’s performance to 2020, it found he was outperforming his 2020 numbers by 3% or more in more than 1,000 counties. Harris was outperforming Biden in none.
Jake Tapper’s reaction to learning this is priceless.
Harris is even doing worse than Joe Biden did in 2020 in Minnesota, despite – or perhaps because of – having Gov. Tim Walz on the ballot.
So, what was with all that “razor-thin” nonsense? There will, of course, be handwringing about the polls and how many of them missed out again. (For the record, the TIPP poll, with which we work on monthly polls, has consistently been the most accurate at predicting the outcome of presidential races and showed Trump ahead in the popular vote the day before the election.)
But our best guess is that Democrats in the press knew what was happening, and didn’t want to admit it to themselves or the public. They couldn’t say that Trump was winning on the issues, that his appeal was broader and wider than before. Or that the Left’s attempts to strip his name off ballots, throw him in prison, label him Hitler, were all backfiring and making Trump more appealing. Or that the economy was in far worse shape than they admitted and it was hitting working families hard. Or that the Democrats’ ultra-left policies – open borders, transgenderism, censorship, etc. – was a turnoff to everyday Americans. Or that the Biden-to-Harris switcheroo was a monumental failure.
Since they couldn’t admit to any of that, the best they could do was point to polls showing a close popular vote – knowing that polls always undercount Trump support – and blather on about how it was a dead heat.
It amounts to one more nail in the mainstream media’s reputational coffin.
— Written by the I&I Editorial Board
I live about 20 miles south of Butler, PA, where Trump was shot.
When your side starts shooting at innocent people, they tend to get angry.
We suffered one KIA and three WIA in this election.
Turnout in my precinct was 89% of the registered voters.
The only real surprise to me is that it wasn’t more than 90%.
The lamestream media has no reputation left. It threw it away before Trump’s first election when it began trashing him as soon as it realized he was a viable candidate. But the damage had begun even before that with it’s continued lies and fake news garbage about every far left issue – climate, DIE (the proper way to spell DEI), identity politics, LBGTABCDEFG… ad nauseum, fascism, conservative censorship & slander, BLM, Antifa, burning cities, open borders, forced vaccinations, and on and on.
They all said it was razor thin not because they didn’t want people to see how popular he really was. They said it was razor thin because the fix was in, and a rigged election is only believable if it was so close it could go either way. I’m tired of pointing out the obvious to journalists who should know better.
Polling is regularly used to cover up fraud. But it has to be believable so no moderate judge smells anything fishy and risks looking too deep if it ever goes to trial. Fraud by machine means that software is able to shift the results, but must do so programmatically. If machines were controlled nation-wide, Harris would have won. But because they can only control the fraud in high-population strongholds, there is is a limit to the number of votes that can be shifted/fabricated in that area without raising the statistical fish-smell to nuclear levels. Too Big to Rig, floods the election with actual voters in so many small areas that the totality of those numbers out-performs those areas where fraud is shifting ballots or creating ballots for voters that do not exist. They may still try to steal Trump’s popular vote through places like California, where they can just continue to dump votes in without check. And there-in lies the genius of our founding Father’s in the electoral college. Corruption can control some areas of an election, but evil won’t succeed in controlling all areas until the end.
As for the media, they are the water carriers for the narrative that covers up the crime. If you’re planning to steal the crown jewels, you need a cover story to distract from how the crime actually took place now, don’t you?
Today’s herd mentality shifted polls and polling from identifying the opinions of the people to creating peoples’ opinions. Why spend the effort to learn large groups of peoples’ opinions when you can instead push them to think that their opinion is what you want it to be.
What a relief.
The end of Kamala should also bring an end to the sanctimonious, insufferable, insulting preaching by both Obamas and all the Obama-types that we are all rubes, beneath dignity, unwashed and unsophisticated not to appreciate their changing our English language and words, supporting men cheating in women’s sports, saying things that snowflakes are too wilting to survive and we must have trigger warnings and smelling salts everywhere and on and on.
It has been bat shit crazy for too long.
Be Gone!
Progressives leading the USA over the cliff with such glee, Be Gone.
DOJ lawyers, the nefarious, beneath contempt Jack Smith types, mocking our constitution with their third world lawfare against our own. Be Gone.
Editors of networks and newspapers distorting everything everyday, Be Gone.
DEI, be Gone, and initiate a class action lawsuit for such massive DEI resume fraud across the nation.
Put the statues back up. Francis Scott Key, taken down in SF!! for heaven’s sake!
End the stark raving madness!
Schumer and Pelosi..Be Gone.
Tar and feathers for both of them for decades of their disgusting, beneath the honor of our government and for their many unconstitutional abuses of power.
Be Gone.
What a relief!
The puppets of the Propaganda Ministry, will be held to account for their treason against the free citizens and the democrap lemmings alike.