Issues & Insights

Do Democrats Realize How Much Trouble They’re In?

The latest polls show the public turning against the Democrats’ attempt to remove President Donald Trump from office. The party’s presidential field looks weaker by the day. Trump’s approval rating is tied with what President Barack Obama’s was at the same point in his first term. And the economy keeps chugging along. Wasn’t Trump supposed to be packing his bags by now?

Start with the impeachment polls. Whatever hopes Democrats had of removing Trump from office, or even significantly damaging his reelection hopes, appear to be fading – a fact even the mainstream media is having to admit.

The Hill reported on Sunday that, “New public opinion polls are moving against Democrats on impeachment as independents sour on the House inquiry and increasingly express opposition to the hearings that have consumed Washington in recent weeks.”

It notes that three polls taken last week showed a sharp drop in support for impeachment among independents. Emerson University, for example, found the share of independents who say they back Trump’s impeachment dropping from 48% in October down to 34% now.

The FiveThirtyEight average of polls shows that 41% of independents approve of impeachment, down from 48% a few weeks ago.

The new data, the Hill reports, “comes as a surprise to Democrats.”

Vanity Fair ran a piece a couple days ago headlined: “’It Is Hard to Read This as Anything But a Warning’: New Polling Suggest Democrats’ Impeachment Push Could Alienate Key Voters.”

It looked at data from a Politico/Morning Consult poll and found that “independents see impeachment as a continuation of the partisan bickering and media excess that began even before his inauguration.”

And independents see impeachment as more important to politicians and the media than to them, by huge margins of 62% to 22% and 61% to 23%, respectively.

It’s not that Trump has been masterful in his own defense as much as independent-minded voters haven’t been swayed into thinking that hearsay, speculation and disdain of Trump are sufficient reasons to overturn a presidential election.

Then there’s the current Gallup poll, which shows Trump’s approval rating at 43%. That is exactly where Obama’s was at this point in his presidency. And Obama’s approval rating came despite the fact that he had a fawning media at his feet.

Richer In Quantity Than Quality

While the impeachment train sputters, the Democratic presidential field continues to under-perform and weaken. Putative front-runner Joe Biden continues to flash warning signs that he’s just too old and out of touch to be running for president. The latest embarrassment: He couldn’t remember the names of the four women he said he’d consider to be his running mate.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s campaign has been in trouble ever since she revealed how she’d pay for her Medicare for All plan, which after blowing up in her face forced her to backpedal on the whole thing. She also suffered a public relations blow when school choice advocates interrupted her rally in Atlanta, where she falsely claimed that her kids went to public school.

Just how weak the Democrats’ lineup is came into high relief when both Michael Bloomberg and Deval Patrick decided to enter the race just months before the Iowa caucuses. The fact that both want to position themselves as moderates means they see Biden as a deeply troubled front-runner.

As the New York Times put it, their entry at the 11th hour “highlighted the growing anxiety among some Democrats that the 18-person field is more rich in quantity than quality. “

Anything can happen over the next 11 months, of course, but if Democrats continue to advertise to the public that they are too old, too far left, too driven by Trump Derangement Syndrome, and too out of touch with the concerns of the public, Trump could end up winning reelection by a landslide.  

— Written by John Merline

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  • Democrats do not realize how much trouble they’re in. they’re very sure that the majority of people in Washington DC agree with them, and also the majority in some heavily populated coastal States.

    • I think this impeachment farce has helped Trump and will propell him to a landslide victory in 2020.

  • Mr. Trump’s approval is exactly the same as Mr. Obama’s at exactly the same point in their respective presidencies. How better to demonstrate the irrelevance of the traditional media?

  • True believers are not concerned with facts. Logic and reason do not apply to statist control freak fanatics hell bent for some failed stale 19th century utopia fairytales and revenge on those who dare to think for themselves.

  • Democrat politicians and numerous governmental agencies seem to be out of touch with public opinion. Regardless of what “some” polls say, the majority are behind Trump, and those who doubt it are walking a very thin line. Many of the impeachment witnesses, as well as the previous Secretary of the Navy, seem to have lost sight of who is the head of our government. It’s not Pelosi, Schiff, Navy Admiral Spencer, Vindman, or even, the not so illusive (Eric C.), whistleblower. It is still Donald J. Trump. He is still the BOSS and until he can be found guilty of “high crimes” he will continue to be even after 2020. He will not be impeached because democrats and deep state types disagree with his policies, or simply want to be rid of him. Get over it!

  • The most interesting polls are those showing increasing support for Trump among minority voters, African-American and Hispanic. if trump breaks those monolithic voting blocs the Dems are in real trouble.

  • Today’s Democratic Party: A riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma that exploded from DemRep. Eric Swalwell and formed into a giant bubble of ignorance on PMSNBC TV

  • At their convention they are expected to announce the party’s name change to Whigs 2.0.

  • There are Two Dem. Parties in Trouble: Biden to the Right and Warren to the Left.

    That explains Bloomberg.

    • You know your party has gone overboard to port when Joe Biden can be described as its “right wing”.

  • This impeachment attempt was never well thought out. From the testimony given it becomes quite obvious that those who testified did not have much more than wishful thinking and hearsay to support their own testimony. When questioned directly about their knowledge of the actions taken by the President there was no incrimination of him by what he said or the actions he had taken. This has been a search and destroy mission to placate the demands of Democrat loyalists to remove the President or politically damage him enough to prevent his re-election. Will the President be impeached? Maybe. If the actual goal of these hearings was to generate enough political heat or ammunition for the Senate to take action on…it failed miserably… as the current polling data supports.

  • Unfortunately, a turnip could get the nomination, and if it promised enough free stuff, get 40% of the vote. There can be no complacency among voters anymore. You must get out and voye to ensure the inmates don’t take control of the asylum.

  • Maybe even more important than Trump’s reelection will be how voters will choose the next congress, specifically the House. American voters take the House away from the Dems for their misdeeds and the GOP can get some big things done if they stay focused, not the least of which will be a strong Supreme Court for many years to come.

  • The rule has always been described as Crime and Punishment — note that first comes the Crime, then the punishment. Democrats have it backwards. They’ve decided on the punishment, but they’re having trouble figuring out the crime part.

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