Issues & Insights
C-SPAN Screenshot

Kamala The Tax Cutter? I&I/TIPP Poll Finds Trump Losing The Messaging Battle With Harris

Of all the results from the latest I&I/TIPP poll, the most unsettling has to be that voters think Kamala Harris is at least as much of a fiscal and economic conservative as Donald Trump.

Our latest poll, taken of 997 likely voters, finds that more voters say they trust Harris (who’s already announced $4 trillion in tax hikes) than Trump to cut taxes by a 48%-45% margin. Among the crucial independent voters, the margin is even greater – 49% to 36%.

That’s not all.

More trust Harris to bring about energy independence, 48%-47%.

Trump is essentially tied with Harris on growing the economy (49%-48%), but he’s far behind with independents on this critical issue, with half saying they trust Harris to grow the economy and just 42% trusting Trump.

Harris is tied with Trump on cutting spending and fixing inflation. But among independents, she leads on the former, 44%-33%, and the latter by a 47%-39% margin.

Two other areas where Trump leads – lowering the national debt (46%-44%) and reducing crime (48%-46%) – are well within the poll’s margin of error.

The only two issues on which Trump holds a clear advantage over Harris are national security (50%-45%) and securing the border (54%-41%).

Anyone who has paid the least bit of attention over the past eight years should be dumfounded by these results. While Harris has been purposefully elusive about her positions, she has a record and had said enough for voters to know better. Let’s review:

Taxes:  According to the Tax Foundation, Harris has proposed more than $4 trillion in tax hikes, which would be partially offset by various tax credits to politically favored groups.

Trump proposes to cut taxes by $6 trillion, which would be partially offset by getting rid of “green energy” tax subsidies and increased tariffs.

Energy: When she was first running for president in 2020, Harris proposed a $10 trillion plan to make the country “carbon neutral” by 2045. She cast the tie-breaking voted on the criminally misnamed “Inflation Reduction Act,” which pumped hundreds of billions into green energy boondoggles. On her campaign website she promises to “tackle the climate crisis as she builds on this historic work, advances environmental justice, protects public lands and public health.” All of it will lead to higher energy prices, and make us more dependent on the Middle East for oil and Communist China for “clean” energy.

When Trump was president, the U.S. became a net oil exporter for the first time in decades. That didn’t last long once the Biden-Harris regime started attacking the oil and gas industry, denying permits and imposing onerous regulations.

Spending and inflation: Harris was instrumental in getting Biden’s massive spending bills over the finish line, which sparked the 20% increase in prices since she cast those votes. The few policies she’s admitted to supporting would cost more than $1.4 trillion. She’s now guilty of adding another $20 billion to Medicare’s costs.

Harris’ solution to inflation is to fuel it with still more deficit spending while slapping on price controls complaining about corporate greed.

Trump was not an exemplar of fiscal restraint when he was president, but at least he’s talking about it by, among other things, promising Elon Musk a role in rooting out waste.

Economy and debt: As vice president, Harris oversaw a nearly $9 trillion increase in the federal debt. The Biden-Harris budget promises deficits topping $1 trillion for as far as the eye can see. And why would any voter trust Harris to grow the economy when she’s been co-pilot to the worst economic performance of any president since Jimmy Carter? Just 39% approve of the job Biden-Harris have been doing. Before COVID hit, 63% approved of Trump’s handling the economy. Even during the COVID panic-demic, he had a 48% approval rating.

By all rights, Trump should hold a commanding lead in all these areas.

So, what explains these results? You can blame media bias all you want. That certainly has had an impact. The Trump-hating corrupt corporate media has let Harris run a campaign devoid of specifics, full of flip-flops, and nothing but carefully scripted moments. It’s also true that, as we pointed out in this space last week (see “Silent Majority: Poll Finds Independents Are Far More Conservataive Than They Are Willing to Admit“), independents tend to lie to pollsters about their true beliefs whenever they conflict with the reigning leftist dogma.

But blame also rests with Trump. 

His notorious lack of message discipline has made it easy for the press to hyperfocus on trivialities and ignore his actual proposals. He’s failed to come up with a clear and concise way to define Harris. His tariff proposals have undercut his tax cutting message. In his two debates, Trump failed to articulate his bold vision and how it contrasts with the grim future Biden or Harris will bring about. Then there are the foolish Republicans have been running around saying they are going to vote for Harris.

In contrast, Democrats – Biden and Harris, lawmakers, advocacy groups, and the media – have spent the past year focused on one goal: scaring voters about Trump and using “Project 2025” as a proxy. So, they lied about its content and claimed Trump was secretly behind it.

It’s a misinformation campaign unequaled in American history. Project 2025 is a conservative policy guidebook for whoever the incoming president is, assembled by the Heritage Foundation. The venerable think tank has done this every four years since 1980. It’s full of the meat conservatives have recommended for 44 years.

But thanks to the Democrats’ relentless messaging campaign, more than half of the country has a negative view of “Project 2025.” Just 4% have a positive view.

Even with a hostile press, if Trump and the GOP had this level of message discipline, he’d be miles ahead of Harris right now.

— Written by the I&I Editorial Board

I & I Editorial Board

The Issues and Insights Editorial Board has decades of experience in journalism, commentary and public policy.

10 comments

  • “Even with a hostile press, if Trump and the GOP had this level of message discipline, he’d be miles ahead of Harris right now.”

    Not really. We had decades of GOP “message discipline” and the Left has continued to advance their agenda over them, and us.

    “Discipline” then included the refusal to say the quiet parts out loud – with incivility, when necessary – about the fallacies and malice that drives the Left, because that would be distasteful.

    Part of Trump’s “lack of discipline” is saying those quiet parts out loud.

    And instead of joining him in that – and perhaps even doing better than he does in doing that – we strain at every gnat to condemn him for it while we remain above-it-all.

  • I agree with all you have written. But you forget Trump is his own worst enemy. His ego never gets checked at the door. His narcissism of claiming more than he actually did (called embellishment) and his sociopathic behavior betray his true intentions. Think General Flynn, Ruddy Giuliani, Steve Bannon, and Peter Navarro who were loyal to Trump as he demanded but has failed and failed miserably to return that loyalty to them. What did Trump really do to help these four people of his Admiration two of which went to jail? Zip. But Trump did expect the RNC to pay his legal bills. Like I have stated Trump is his own worst enemy.

    • I see the policies implemented by Trump in the years 2017-2020 as a more obvious indicator of his true intentions.

      Consider that Trump helping any one of them, outside of his pardon power which he exercised for Flynn, would have been considered obstruction of justice while in office and/or a RICO violation while out of office, by the lawfare experts at DOJ who can stretch a statute like a condom over a watermelon to “get their man.”

  • Your comment begs the question about the main media press, their reporters, commentators and their editors:

    Is the press unAmerican?
    They gleefully lie, misrepresent, misquote, mislead the not so well informed voter.

    Our task as voters is to elect the best, most resolute Commander in Chief in a troubled world to protect and to strengthen our country and our allies.

    With such a critical goal for voters, how can so many in the press be so deliberately and seditiously unAmerican?

  • Losing the messaging battle…hmmm, would that be the battle between Trump and the Mainstream Media? They’re doing the heavy lifting for Kamala. And, earth to you, Donald Trump could not possibly be clearer in what he aims and does not aim to do. It’s the media that is mangling his message.
    I wonder why you don’t see that.

  • The number of people who embrace counterfactual beliefs in favor of Democrats is a measure of how many people get their information from Democrat controlled sources.

  • “Harris is tied with Trump on cutting spending and fixing inflation.”

    How the hell can ANYONE believe Harris will cut spending and reduce inflation?

  • The Bottom 60% of tax payers get more back from the IRS in Earned Income, Child Credits, EBT cards and Deductions than they paid in taxes.

    The middle 20% just pays for itself

    Top 20% pays 87% of the taxes.

    So! Whitch tax Quintile is she cutting? How does she plan to collect any revenue? Only 38% of the population is working. Are all the rest on Welfare?

About Issues & Insights

Issues & Insights is run by seasoned journalists who were behind the Pulitzer Prize-winning IBD Editorials page (before it was summarily shut down). Our goal then and now is to bring our decades of combined journalism experience to help readers understand the top issues of the day. I&I is a completely independent operation, beholden to none, but committed to providing cogent, rational, data-driven, fact-based commentary that the nation so desperately needs. 

Discover more from Issues & Insights

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading