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Democrats advertised the Jan. 6 commission as an effort to ”investigate and report on the facts and causes relating to the January 6, 2021, domestic terrorist attack.” But in today’s highly charged partisan world, few believe that this is the commission’s genuine concern, according to the latest I&I/TIPP Poll.
The poll, which was taken after the first day of the commission’s hearings, asked a straightforward question: “How likely is it that the Jan. 6 commission will make a genuine effort to uncover the truth?”
Overall, the poll found that only 22% of the public believes that it’s “very likely” the commission will make such an effort, while 18% say it’s “not likely at all.” Another 26% believe it’s “somewhat” likely, while on the other side, 19% say it’s “not very likely” that the commission plans to expose the truth about what happened.
Not surprisingly, Democrats have more confidence in the goal of the commission, with 73% saying it is “very” or “somewhat” likely that it will make a genuine effort to uncover the truth.
But what is surprising is how little faith independents have in the commission. Only 36% of them think it’s likely it will make a genuine effort to uncover the truth, while 42% say it isn’t likely to do so. Among Republicans, 24% say it’s likely and 61% unlikely.
The results come from the latest monthly I&I/TIPP poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence from July 28 to July 30, which included responses from 1,322 adults, giving it a margin of error of +/- 2.8 points. It is part of a new collaboration between Issues & Insights and TIPP to gauge public opinion on key current issues of interest to all Americans.
A TIPP poll taken in June found that independents were less likely than Democrats to call the events of Jan. 6 an act of “domestic terrorism,” (21% vs. 34%) and more likely to simply label it a riot (26% vs. 19%). And while 22% of Democrats called it an “armed insurrection,” only 13% of independents did so.
Other polls have shown independents’ support for the commission has tumbled. Just 52% say they support the commission in the latest Morning Consult poll, down from 65% the month before. Republican support fell from 45% to 34% between those two polls.
The commission – which is officially called the National Commission to Investigate the January 6 Attack on the United States Capitol Complex – came under turmoil when House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., took the highly unusual move of kicking two Republicans off what was supposed to be a bipartisan group: Reps. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, and Jim Banks, R-Ind.
That prompted House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy to yank all five GOP lawmakers from the commission, and Banks to tweet that: “Speaker Pelosi only allowed people in the 1/6 Select Cmte room that will push her partisan narrative. They rejected my call to include the head of the Capitol Police Union who represents USCP rank-and-file. So we didn’t get the full story — just her cherry-picked version of events.”
Who does trust the Jan. 6 commission to do its job? Young urban liberals with a college degree who make well over the median income.
The poll found that 63% of urbanites and 62% of those 25-44 years old say the commission is likely to carry out its main purpose, but only 34% of those from rural areas, and 39% of the 45-64 do. Among those making more than $750,000 a year, 64% say the commission is likely to make a genuine effort, but only 42% of those making less than $30,000.
Fifty-nine percent of college graduates trust the commission, a number that falls to just 43% among high-school educated. Men are more likely than women to think the commission will make a genuine fact-finding effort (54% vs. 42%).
I&I/TIPP looks forward to providing more data in the coming weeks on topics of vital interest to all Americans. TIPP, as we’ve noted, has the distinction of being the most accurate pollster for the past five presidential elections.